ORDERS for containerships have passed the one million TEU
mark this year, with 145 units contracted during the first 10 months, says
Alphaliner.
Based on nominal container intake, the cellular
containership orderbook currently stands at 3.5 million TEU, representing 19.3
per cent of the existing fleet, which totals 18.2 million TEU.
The present orderbook-to-fleet ratio, at below the 20 per
cent mark, stands at one of the lowest levels since 2000, compared with peaks
of 60 per cent in 2005 and 2008.
The ratio could however rise again by a few points, if
the G6 carriers were to conclude orders for a series of 18,000-TEU ships
believed to be in the pipeline.
On the other end of the spectrum, renewed interest for
containerships of 1,000-2,000 TEU could trigger further orders in this size
range with 49 units contracted so far this year.
Most of the orders in this segment are focussed on the
intra-Asia trades, mainly the 1,000-1,100 TEU size for North Asia routes and
the 1,600-1,700 TEU size for southeast Asia trade lanes.
Ordered at attractive prices, many of these
fuel-efficient ships designed for operation in intra-Asia niche trades will
displace old charter tonnage. A few ships of 1,400-2,400 TEU designed for the
Baltic trades were also ordered.
The overcrowded mid-sized vessel segment is being
shunned, and orders for ships in the 3,000-7,500 TEU size range have been
scarce in the past two years, with few exceptions.
US private equity owner Oaktree ordered 10 wide beam
container vessels of 5,370 TEU at Hanjin's Subic Bay yard, with half of the
ships delivered so far.
Germany's Niederelbe Schiffahrt (NSB) this year
contracted four 5,000-TEU ships at Sainty Shipyard, and Simatech in 2013
committed to two 4,350-TEU ships from Taizhou Catic.
With 100 neo-panamax wide beam ships of 8,500-10,000 TEU
scheduled for delivery in the next two years, the mid-sized segment also faces
significant pressure from above, as these new ships will mainly replace
4,000-7,000 TEU vessels, which could then have limited prospects for
re-employment.
In terms of orders, the 8,500-10,000 TEU handy
neo-panamax, which refers to ships with a 19-row beam and an overall length of
299 to 335 metres, was the most popular segment last year.
A total of 78 such units were signed for in 2013, with a
further 15 orders added in the first two months of 2014. By unit count, the
segment accounted for 23 per cent of all new containership orders since 2000.
But reduced demand on Latin America and Black Sea routes,
trades for which these ships are optimised, has put pressure on this sector
too. Subsequently, there have not been any further orders for ships of this
size since March.
In contrast, the ultra large containership (ULCS) sector
continues to attract interest, with orders for three 18,000-TEU-class ships announced
last week for an undisclosed European owner.
Additional deals for ships of this size are expected to
be concluded in the next few months as several carriers are currently
considering ULCS newbuilding programmes.
Source : HKSG.
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