The merchant
world fleet gradually shifted from sail to a full engine powered fleet from
about 1870 to 1940.
The merchant
world fleet gradually shifted from sail to a full engine powered fleet from
about 1870 to 1940. Steamships burning coal dominated up to 1920, and since
then coal has gradually been replaced by marine oils, due to the shift to
diesel engines and oil fired steam boilers.
The shift
from wind to coal was driven by the developments in steam engines, and offered
the opportunity for more reliable transit times, to a large extent independent
of the weather conditions and prevailing wind directions. The following shift,
from coal to oil, was driven by increased efficiency, ease of handling, and
cleaner operations.
The main
drivers leading to the advent of alternative fuels in the future can be
classiied in two broad categories:
■ Regulatory
requirements and environmental concerns, and
■
Availability of fossil fuels, cost and energy security.
The upcoming
requirements for reduced sulphur content in the fuel will increase the cost of
the fuel. This effect will be more pronounced after 2020 (or 2025, depending on
when the new regulations are enforced), when the sulphur content globally will
be at 0.5% (or 5,000 ppm), which is lower than current levels for the ECAs.
Introducing
exhaust gas after treatment systems, such as SOx scrubbers and urea-based
catalysts for NOx reduction, can add significantly to the cost of a ship. These
systems are both space-demanding and costly, while they can increase the fuel
consumption by 2–3%.
On the other
hand, they allow for the use of less expensive, high sulphur fuels. Introducing
new, sulphur-free fuels can be a viable solution for this problem, provided
that these fuels and the necessary technology are offered at competitive price
levels.
The fuel
consumption in the ECAs is estimated at approximately 30–50 million tons of
fuel per year and it is going to increase if more areas are included in the
ECAs in the future.
These figures are important for evaluating the potential of
each one of the alternative fuels presented in this report for replacing oil-based
fuels.
Overview of potential alternatives
Over the next
four decades, it is likely that the energy mix will be characterised by a high
degree of diversification. LNG has the potential to become the fuel of choice
for all shipping segments, provided the infrastructure is in place, while
liquid biofuels could gradually also replace oil-based fuels.
Electricity
from the grid will most likely be used more and more to charge batteries for
ship operations in ports, but also for propulsion of relatively small vessels.
Renewable electricity could also be used to produce hydrogen, which in turn can
be used to power fuel cells, providing auxiliary or propulsion power.
If a drastic
reduction of GHG emissions is required and appropriate alternative fuels are
not readily available, carbon capture systems could provide a radical solution for
substantial reduction of CO2. While renewable energy, eg. solar and wind may
have some potential to mitigate carbon emissions, this is not seen as a viable
alternative for commercial shipping.
Certainly,
vessels equipped with sails, wind kites or solar panels may be able to
supplement existing power generating systems, but the relative unreliability of
these energy sources make them appropriate only for special cases where favourable
weather conditions prevail.
Ship electrification and renewables
Recent
developments in ship electrification hold significant promise for more
efficient use of energy. Renewable power production can be exploited to produce
electricity in order to power ships at berth, cold ironing and to charge
batteries for fully electric and hybrid ships.
Enhancing the
role of electricity on ships will contribute towards improved energy management
and fuel efficiency on larger vessels. For example, shifting from AC to on
board DC grids would allow engines to operate at variable speeds, helping to
reduce energy losses.
Additional
benefits include power redundancy and noise and vibration reduction, which is
particularly significant for passenger ferries. Energy storage devices are
critical for the use of electricity for ship propulsion, while they are also
important for optimization of the use of energy on board in hybrid ships.
There are
several energy storage technologies currently available. Battery powered
propulsion systems are the most popular ones, and they are already being
engineered for smaller ships.
For larger
vessels, engine manufacturers are focusing on hybrid battery solutions.
Challenges related to safety, availability of materials used and lifetime must be
addressed to ensure that battery- driven vessels are competitive with
conventional ones, but the pace of technology is advancing rapidly. Other
energy storage technologies that could find application in shipping in the
future include flywheels, supercapacitors, and thermal energy storage devices.
Electrification
has generated strong interest, particularly for ship types with frequent load
variations. Significant growth in hybrid ships, such as harbour tugs, offshore
service vessels, and passenger ferries should be expected in the next few
years.
The way forward
The
introduction of any alternative energy source will take place at a very slow
pace initially as technologies mature and the necessary infrastructure becomes
available. In addition, introduction of any new fuel will most likely take
place first in regions where the fuel supply will be secure in the long-term.
Due to
uncertainty related to the development of appropriate infrastructure, the new
energy carriers will first be utilised in smaller short sea vessels, and small
ferries are expected to be some of the first movers. As technologies mature and
the infrastructure starts to develop, each new fuel can be used in larger
vessels.
The adoption
of LNG will be driven by fuel price developments, technology, regulation,
increased availability of gas and the development of the appropriate
infrastructure. The introduction of batteries in ships for assisting propulsion
and auxiliary power demands is also a promising low carbon energy source.
Ship types
involved in frequent transient operations (such as frequent manoeuvring,
dynamic positioning, etc.) can benefit most from the introduction of batteries
through a hybrid configuration. Moreover, energy storage devices can be used in
combination with waste heat recovery systems to optimise the use of energy on
board. Cold ironing could become a standard procedure in many ports around the
world.
It is very
likely that in the future there will be a more diverse fuel mix where LNG,
biofuels, renewable electricity and maybe hydrogen all play important roles.
Electrification and energy storage enable a broader range of energy sources to
be used. Renewable energy such as wind and solar can be produced and stored for
use on ships either in batteries or as hydrogen.
Besides IMO
rules and ISO standards, development of appropriate Rules and Recommended
Practices is necessary for the safe implementation of any of these technologies
in the future. To achieve this, the role of Class Societies will be crucial.
Adopting new
technologies is likely to be an uncomfortable position for shipowners. To
ensure confidence that technologies will work as intended, Technology
Qualification from neutral third parties, such as classification societies, is
also likely to be more widely used.
Source :
DNV-GL, 25.06.15.
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