SWELLING numbers of mega ships are expected
to bring good fortune to Los Angeles, Long Beach and Oakland because no east
coast or Gulf ports can handle vessels of this size, says Beacon Economics trade advisor
Jock O'Connell.
Despite the fact that California ports have
lost market share to ports Houston, New Orleans, Charleston and Savannah,
"this is partly a function of the increased location of manufacturing in
southern states by global manufacturers", Mr O'Connell said.
"In the long-term, container volumes are
going to continue to rise at California ports, especially with the arrival of
the mega ships," he told the American Journal of Transportation.
Houston, Mr O'Connell noted, has seen a major
increase in container volumes as a result of increased manufacturing and the
Panama Canal widening.
Nevertheless, he warned that "ports are
at the mercy of the ocean carriers", and "these ocean carrier have to
utilise more of the 18,000+ TEU containerships that they have been ordering,
then more and more of these ships are going to find themselves on the Asia to
west coast trade".
This view is shared by Alphaliner's Tan Hua
Joo speaking at this year's Trans Pacific Maritime (TPM) conference in Long
Beach. Mr Tan said that a flood of new 18,000+ container ships are being
delivered in 2017 and 2018 and that this will flood the international container
market with new excess capacity.
Source : HKSG.
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