CONTAINER shipping lines worldwide
are estimated to have collectively earned US$7 billion last year,
and Drewry
forecasts 2018's results may be even better.
In its latest Container Market Outlook &
Freight Rate Trend, Drewry says it expects ongoing volume growth in
every region. As a result, it has revised upwards its forecast for 2018 from an
annualised growth rate of 3.6 per cent to 4.3 per cent, reported UK's The
Loadstar.
It noted this would represent a
further nine million containers requiring shipment, which has eased concerns
about overcapacity given the arrival of a significant number of mega newbuild
vessels.
Drewry Supply Chain Advisors director Philip Damas was quoted as saying: "Supply pressures are not as
hazardous as it would appear," due to the ability of shipping lines to
"suppress the impact by deferring deliveries" and off-hiring chartered
tonnage when needed.
The market appears to be ready for
off-hired ships. One broker told The Loadstar he had charterers in
some sectors "becoming desperate" for tonnage.
The number of idle containerships
dropped to a new low of 82, equating to 301,116 TEU, or just 1.6 per cent of
the global fleet, according Alphaliner data. The analysts said
that the active fleet has now reached 20.98 million TEU, an increase of 10.8 per
cent compared to last year.
Carriers can now look to fixing most
Asia to Europe contract rates at a level on par with or slightly better than
last year, which itself was a significant improvement on 2016.
There is still time to run before
the transpacific contract negotiation season starts, but the initial
indications on that route are also positive.
Source : HKSG.
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