FITCH Ratings has
warned that a trade war between the United States and some of its major trading
partners would over time weaken growth for US airports, toll roads and ports if
it slows the economy or leads to a recession.
Concern has been mounting among
major credit rating agencies that US tariffs and retaliatory measures could
harm state and local economies that rely on international trade.
Fitch cited in its latest report
potential auto tariffs as a concern for the bond-financed US transportation
sector, where stable operations are expected for the remainder of this year,
reported Reuters.
"Were auto tariffs to
significantly raise the cost of purchasing an automobile, they could act as a
sort of tax on motorists that would increase the costs of auto transportation
and in turn reduce demand," Fitch analyst Scott Monroe said in a
statement.
Fitch said factors such as
broad-based economic growth, low unemployment and reasonable gas prices would
counteract tariffs.
The trade situation has not yet hurt
US ports, however, facilities with higher dependence on Asian trade may feel
the impact when tariffs hit, according to Fitch.
"Investors are showing
increasing interest in terminal assets as they seek steady cash flows in
infrastructure assets," said Fitch analyst Emma Griffith.
As for airports, air cargo is a
small part of their operations but a trade war could worry facilities that
handle large international shipments, said Fitch analyst Seth Lehman. "It
would take a long time for a trade issue to filter into the airport
sector."
Ahead of a visit to China on city
business, Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel raised concerns about the impact of
a trade war on O'Hare International Airport, which he said handles
29 per cent of China's air cargo to the United States.
Source : HKSG.
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