NOW
that the expanded Panama Canal is open, operators are expected to deploy
8,000-TEU ships or above with a number of lines having already put such plans
in place.
Larger
ships may follow when US east coast sea and aircraft problems are solved.
Whether that results in switching from the old Asia-US west coast-east coast "landbridge"
to the "all water" route via Panama remains to be seen, says
Clarksons
Research.
Based
on the official neopanamax dimensions, the new locks will allow 13,500-TEUers
to pass through. Only 207 box ships are too big. Thus, the canal's TEU capacity
has risen 37 per cent to 85 per cent of the global fleet.
Another
impact is on the structure of the containership sector. A new, more appropriate
segmentation is needed. The 8,000- to 11,999-TEU sector will comprise the
initial wave of neopanamaxes, while the 12,000- to 14,999-TEU sector contains
the larger neopanamaxes of the future.
Today
59 ships in the 12,000- to 14,999-TEU sector can transit the new locks on the
basis of the official dimensions, another 39 have dimensions so close to the
limits one would imagine they are likely to transit, and a further 50 will
probably fit through on the basis of the already mooted expansion of the beam
restriction to 51 metres.
Source
: SN-TR.
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