HOPE for merger between Chile's CSAV and Germany's
Hapag-Lloyd is unlikely to be realised, because the two groups of shareholders
are too different and there is no consensus on strategic direction, says
maritime analyst Alphaliner.
This will make a merger deal difficult to forge, said the
Paris-based research house. "CSAV's value as a merger candidate is also
impaired as its shipping operations are chronically unprofitable and it has
been steadily losing market share, despite scaling down its global coverage
since 2011 to focus on Latin America," said Alphaliner.
"The discussions between CSAV and Hapag-Lloyd are
therefore more likely to lead to further cooperation on joint services instead
of an outright merger, especially on the Latin America sector as both carriers
seek to stop their declining market shares from falling further.
CSAV and Hapag-Lloyd have confirmed that they are in
discussions on "a possible business combination or any other form of
association", after news of a November meeting in Miami on a potential
merger was reported by Germany's Die Welt newspaper last week.
Although the German press suggests that both carriers
have complementary liner networks, the likelihood that the discussions will
lead to a merger is low, said Alphaliner.
For Hapag-Lloyd, the discussions with CSAV follow the
failed merger talks with Hamburg Sud, which started in late 2012 but were
called off in March 2013 after the shareholders of both companies failed to
agree on terms. But the case for a merger between Hapag-Lloyd and Hamburg Sud
was clearly positive and publicly acknowledged.
Source : SN-TR, 10.12.13.
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