DREWRY Maritime Equity Research has taken a positive view
on the global port sector due to improved outlook for a global economic
recovery, and according to the latest forecasts, the container trade will grow
4.7 per cent this year and 5.7 per cent next reaching 684 million TEU by the
end of next year.
The forecasts also show that port capacity is only
expected to reach 994 million TEU by 2014 increasing at a compound annual
growth rate (CAGR) of 3.9 per cent since 2011, which will nudge average
utilisation up to 69 per cent in 2014 from 67 per cent in 2011.
But there will be wide regional variations in utilisation
levels with emerging regions such as the Far East and South East Asia
registering much higher rates of 75 per cent next year, while muted demand in
Western Europe will keep the euro average down to 57 per cent.
On an aggregated basis, Drewry expects the 12 ports under
coverage to deliver 8.4 per cent growth in sales, 10.8 per cent growth in
EBITDA and net income growth of 14.3 per cent in 2013.
Source : HKSG.
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